Trends in electric vehicle charging – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA (2024)

Dedicated charging for heavy-duty vehicles is the next frontier

Electric HDVs can generally use the same charging points as LDVs, but the larger size of both the vehicle and battery, and the resulting longer charging times required can disrupt normal operations, ultimately creating a need for dedicated equipment and facilities. HDV charging facilities of this kind are still in the early stages of large-scale development and deployment.

Progress is being made globally on developing standards for megawatt-scale chargers, with the aim of achieving maximum interoperability for electric HDVs. This will be essential to enable a fast roll-out of the charging technology, and mitigate any potential risks and challenges faced by vehicle manufacturers, importers, international operators and equipment providers. In 2023, the EuropeanUnion and UnitedStates produced a set of recommendations for charging infrastructure, including the harmonisation of standards between the two regions. In essence, this provided recognition of the adoption of the megawatt charging system (MCS) – which allows charging capacity up to 3.75MW – by international standardisation organisations such as SAE International and the International Organization for Standardization (ISO). Some companies such as Kempower, who mainly operate in Europe but are expanding globally, are expected to introduce chargers designed to operate at up to 1.2MW in 2024, ahead of the formal standardisation of the MCS, though this is not expected to cause issues of divergence. In Asia, predominantly in China and Japan, the ChaoJi-2 began demonstration in late 2023. Although ChaoJi-2 has a lower power rating than the MCS (up to 1.2MW), it allows for compatibility with existing standards in the region.7

In March 2024, the United States released the National Zero-Emission Freight Corridor Strategy. This sets out a phased approach to electrifying road freight, starting with establishing charging hubs at locations such as rail yards and airports, before expanding the network with the aim of achieving full coverage sometime between 2035 and 2040. Smaller demonstrations have also been undertaken, such as the Run on Less – Electric DEPOT scheme, through which around 140charging points were installed at 10depots across the United States. According to data collected by the Atlas EV Hub, a further 210 charging points are already operating in the UnitedStates to serve electric trucks, and another 1020 are planned, around 75% of which are due to be completed in 2024. The weighted average capacity of chargers whose power was included in the database is 180kW, with almost 95% being direct current fast chargers.

To date, there are around 160 truck-specific charging points deployed in Europe. In early 2023, Europe’s first truck charging corridor was launched along a 600km stretch of the Rhine-Alpine corridor, one of the busiest road freight routes in Europe. All 6 public charging locations are fitted with 300kW charging points. The company behind the corridor, BP pulse, is also electrifying one of the largest truck stops in the United Kingdom.

Looking forward, the EU AFIR details the progressive roll-out of minimum coverage and capacity for HDV charging stations, specifying that each station must include at least one charger of at least 350kW power output by the end of 2025. Alongside national policies, AFIR has sparked the creation of several pilot programmes dedicated to charging HDVs using MCS charging, such as HoLa, ZEFES, HV-MELA-BAT, and a joint ABB and Scania project. In late 2023, Milence, an independent joint venture established by Traton, Volvo and Daimler, presented their HDV charger. In collaboration with Hitachi Energy, they plan to build 1700 public charging points across Europe by 2027, based on the MCS.

Although high-powered charging can enable the decarbonisation of freight, it may also present challenges for the electricity grid, like fluctuations in power quality or supply-demand imbalances. These imbalances can cause grid congestion at the local level, and could affect entire regions where there is a large electric HDV fleet. Some countries, such as the Netherlands, are already developing policies to anticipate these issues. One way to mitigate challenges and avoid peak demand is through stationary storage batteries that are co-located with high-powered chargers. This solution would require significant capital expenditure (CAPEX) for the installation of large, stationary batteries, but it could also offer new revenue streams to charging station owners, such as through electricity price arbitrage or grid services provision. Co-locating renewable sources close to charging hubs can also decrease the stress on the local power grid. The electricity grid is a key enabling technology for HDV electrification, and careful planning and investment will be required in order to accommodate new loads. For further analysis of the impacts of HDV charging on the electricity grid, see the Outlook for electric vehicle charging infrastructure later in this report, as well as the recently published Electricity Grids and Secure Energy Transitions.

Trends in electric vehicle charging – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA (2024)

FAQs

What is the EV industry outlook for 2024? ›

In 2024, electric car sales in the United States are projected to rise by 20% compared to the previous year, translating to almost half a million more sales, relative to 2023. Despite reporting of a rocky end to 2023 for electric cars in the United States, sales shares are projected to remain robust in 2024.

What is the EVSE market forecast? ›

Over the course of the projection period, the market for electric vehicle supply equipment has grown at a CAGR of 33.19%. The global market for electric vehicle supply equipment is expected to generate approximately USD 30.24 billion in sales in 2023 and USD 398.82 billion by 2032.

What is the future of EV charging stations? ›

In fact, the top two reasons people hesitate to convert to electric are a lack of charging stations and range anxiety. The good news is, with the expected massive growth of EV, experts predict we're going to see more charging stations (500,000 charging stations by 2030) in the next five years.

What is the electric vehicle forecast for 2030? ›

The number of EVs on U.S. roads is projected to reach 26.4 million in 2030, up from the projected 18.7 million in the 2018 report. The projected 26.4 million EVs will make up nearly 10 percent of the 259 million light-duty vehicles (cars and light trucks) expected to be on U.S. roads in 2030.

Will EV prices go down in 2024? ›

Lower battery costs ultimately translate into more affordable electric vehicles in 2024. But don't expect double-digit cost declines next year; it may be years before EV price tags reflect lower production costs. Much depends on EV demand continuing to go up.

What is the EV forecast for 2027? ›

Gartner predicts that by 2027, 15% of EV companies founded since the last decade will be acquired or bankrupt. “This does not mean the EV sector is crumbling. It is simply entering a new phase where companies with the best products and services will win over the remaining,” said Pacheco.

What is the future growth of ChargePoint? ›

For the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 ending April 30, 2024, ChargePoint expects revenue of $100 million to $110 million.

What is the forecast for EV battery technology? ›

The growth in EV sales is pushing up demand for batteries, continuing the upward trend of recent years. Demand for EV batteries reached more than 750 GWh in 2023, up 40% relative to 2022, though the annual growth rate slowed slightly compared to in 2021‑2022. Electric cars account for 95% of this growth.

What is the EV market share in 2025? ›

Projections indicate that the Indian EV market, valued at US$2 billion in 2023 could surge to US$7.09 billion by 2025. Industry estimates also forecast the domestic EV market to achieve 10 million annual sales by 2030.

How many EV charging stations are in the US in 2024? ›

Tesla, for the first time, opened a portion of its U.S. Supercharger and Destination Charger network to non-Tesla EVs, making at least 7,500 chargers available for all EVs by the end of 2024.

How many electric charging stations are in the US in 2024? ›

Powering America's electric vehicles

Overall, there were around 168,300 public charging outlets and 62,600 public charging stations across the United States in April 2024.

What are the trends for EV charging infrastructure? ›

The number of electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) charging ports has grown consistently, and the number of EV charging station locations has also increased steadily. Between 2015 and 2020, the number of EVSE charging ports more than doubled. In 2021 alone, the number of charging ports grew by more than 55%.

How many EV chargers are needed by 2030? ›

National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimates that by 2030 there will be 33 million EVs on the road and 28 million EV charging ports will be needed to support them. The majority of charging will be at home and work, with the public network for opportunity charging and less common long trips.

What is the long term forecast for EV? ›

Global EV sales are forecast to grow 5x from 13.6 million units in 2023 to nearly 67 million units by 2035, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.2%. Supportive policies by both governments and traditional automakers underpin the robust long-term growth outlook.

What EV has 400 mile range in 2024? ›

EVs with the longest range in 2024
RankElectric VehicleEPA est range (miles)
4Lucid Air Touring425
5Lucid Air Pure419
6Tesla Model S405
7Rivian R1S Dual-Motor Max Pack400
24 more rows
Jan 17, 2024

Is EV a growing industry? ›

In the United States, EV sales reached a market share of 7.6 percent last year, and according to some estimates, that figure could climb to 67 percent over the next decade.

What is happening to the EV market? ›

Cantor and colleagues forecast late last year that the US would see somewhere between 1.6 million and 2.1 million new battery-electric and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales in 2024. Now, Cantor says, totals could come in closer to the lower end of that spectrum. Even so, US sales this year should jump by nearly a third.

How do you expect the EV industry to evolve? ›

EV Trends for 2024: What to Expect from the Electric Vehicle...
  1. EV sales will continue to grow.
  2. Prices will keep declining, making EVs more affordable for more people.
  3. Solid-state EV-battery technology will continue to advance.
  4. Tesla's charging plug to become the industry standard in the U.S.
Jan 2, 2024

What is the projected EV sales by 2050? ›

The stakes are enormous: BloombergNEF forecasts the cumulative value of all forms of EV sales will hit $8.8 trillion by 2030 and $57 trillion by 2050. “It's all up for grabs,” said Colin McKerracher, head of transport and automotive analysis at BNEF.

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Moshe Kshlerin

Last Updated:

Views: 5904

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (57 voted)

Reviews: 88% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Moshe Kshlerin

Birthday: 1994-01-25

Address: Suite 609 315 Lupita Unions, Ronnieburgh, MI 62697

Phone: +2424755286529

Job: District Education Designer

Hobby: Yoga, Gunsmithing, Singing, 3D printing, Nordic skating, Soapmaking, Juggling

Introduction: My name is Moshe Kshlerin, I am a gleaming, attractive, outstanding, pleasant, delightful, outstanding, famous person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.